Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Oil spill top kill failure ushers in 2010 hurricane season

The first official day of the 2010 hurricane season was Tuesday, the 42nd official day of the BP oil leak within the Gulf of Mexico. As the BP oil spill live feed continues to show crude gushing from the depths, the 2010 hurricane season forecast predicts one of the strongest hurricane seasons on record. The oil spill top kill, BP’s best hope so far of capping the leak, failed over Memorial Day weekend. Cutting the broken pipe from the wellhead and capping it with a hose to the surface is BP's next option, but that will only slow the flow, not stop the leak. The leak may not be fully contained until relief wells are completed in August. The BP oil spill has dumped up to 100 million gallons into the gulf, where the first storms of hurricane season 2010 are expected to appear.

Article Resource: Hurricane season 2010 starts in gulf as oil spill top kill fails

2010 hurricane season forecast

June 1 is the official start of the 2010 hurricane season, which lasts through Nov. 30. Typically major hurricanes form in the deep Atlantic and unlike quick cash very same day, can be followed for days by forecasters and sensationalized by the media before arriving. But AOL reports that in 2010 the first hurricanes could materialize along the Southeast cost or northeastern Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico is even more likely. Sea temperatures in the Atlantic aren’t expected to brew storms early in hurricane season. Early season storms can have short warning because forming closer to land won't allow for days of anticipation.

Oil spill top kill fails, leak unabated

Efforts to battle the BP oil leak are likely to be disrupted, whether or not the first storm of the 2010 hurricane season strikes easily. A hurricane could not only push a lot more oil ashore but also cause weeks of delays in efforts to contain the spill. The New York Times reports that following the oil spill top kill failure, BP will make an effort to shear off the collapsed pipe leading from the wellhead, place a cap over the opening and funnel leaking oil through a hose to the surface. The New York Times reports that BP's next option following the oil spill top kill bust is to cut off the broken pipe from the wellhead, put a containment dome over the opening and siphon oil to the surface. When the pipe is cut, viewers of the BP oil spill live feed can expect to see even a lot more oil gushing until a cap is installed. What’s more, when a hurricane heads for the gulf, crews will disconnect the hose and run for cover, leaving the BP oil leak to gush unabated.

Storm surge likely toxic

Storm surges carrying oil sludge and oil dispersant, which is toxic, could make parts of the gulf coast uninhabitable throughout hurricane season 2010. Using tracking data from recent storms, Gerson Lehman Group has estimated where the oil spill may cause probably the most issues in the near future. The counter-clockwise spin of a hurricane similar to Gustav in 2008 would drive its storm surge of toxic chemicals west to Texas. A hurricane with a track like Ida in 2009, which tracked to the east-central gulf, would move the toxic storm surge into Florida’s west coast. Hurricane-force winds could blow an aerosol of oil and toxic dispersants far inland.

Hurricane season 2010 information

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association hurricane season 2010 forecast predicts as many as 23 named storms, with 3 to seven major hurricanes. Named storms come with top winds of 39 mph or higher. Hurricane status might be reached by up to 14 when winds go past 74 mph. Category 3, 4 or 5 status might be reached by three to seven hurricanes with winds hitting 111 mph. On June 27, 1957, when category 4 hurricane Audrey hit southern Louisiana, it was, and still is, the worst early season storm in the gulf.

Additional details at these websites

AOL News

New York Times

Gerson Lehman Group



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